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PEP-ICD reports each day on what's moving the UK energy and carbon markets, as well as the impacts of the wider energy complex (oil/LNG). The dashboard below is based on the most recent closing prices, whilst intraday live rates sit behind our TRIBARClient portal (details available on request).

01 · Price board

Forward delivery prices, updated daily

Day-ahead and seasonal forwards for UK gas and power — 3rd October 2026 closing prices (plus last 30 days). Red means down versus previous close. Green means up versus previous close.

Gas · Prompt market

GAS UK Natural Gas · NBP

Day-Ahead

179.15p/therm +1.36 · +0.8%

30d 160.55 – 207.22 close 2 Oct 2026

GAS UK Natural Gas · NBP

Month-Ahead

189.01p/therm +4.61 · +2.5%

30d 162.32 – 207.59 close 2 Oct 2026

GAS UK Natural Gas · NBP

Quarter-Ahead

187.57p/therm +3.65 · +2.0%

30d 166.22 – 209.26 close 2 Oct 2026

GAS UK Natural Gas · NBP

Season-Ahead

137.87p/therm +3.86 · +2.9%

30d 134.01 – 208.63 close 2 Oct 2026

Gas · Forward market

GAS UK Natural Gas · NBP

SUM 27

137.87p/therm +3.86 · +2.9%

30d 105.76 – 137.87 close 2 Oct 2026

GAS UK Natural Gas · NBP

WIN 27

132.26p/therm +3.85 · +3.0%

30d 102.96 – 132.26 close 2 Oct 2026

GAS UK Natural Gas · NBP

SUM 28

86.69p/therm +2.35 · +2.8%

30d 72.42 – 86.69 close 2 Oct 2026

GAS UK Natural Gas · NBP

WIN 28

93.69p/therm +1.97 · +2.2%

30d 79.62 – 93.69 close 2 Oct 2026

Electricity · Prompt market

PWR UK Electricity · Baseload

Day-Ahead

151.95£/MWh −2.45 · −1.6%

30d 28.00 – 198.43 close 3 Oct 2026

PWR UK Electricity · Baseload

Month-Ahead

153.49£/MWh +1.90 · +1.3%

30d 129.67 – 158.36 close 2 Oct 2026

PWR UK Electricity · Baseload

Quarter-Ahead

154.88£/MWh +2.77 · +1.8%

30d 135.44 – 165.41 close 2 Oct 2026

PWR UK Electricity · Baseload

Season-Ahead

108.56£/MWh +1.38 · +1.3%

30d 107.18 – 166.61 close 2 Oct 2026

Electricity · Forward market

PWR UK Electricity · Baseload

SUM 27

108.56£/MWh +1.38 · +1.3%

30d 90.51 – 109.62 close 2 Oct 2026

PWR UK Electricity · Baseload

WIN 27

109.83£/MWh +2.19 · +2.0%

30d 91.56 – 109.83 close 2 Oct 2026

PWR UK Electricity · Baseload

SUM 28

74.46£/MWh +1.76 · +2.4%

30d 66.83 – 74.46 close 2 Oct 2026

PWR UK Electricity · Baseload

WIN 28

82.59£/MWh +1.24 · +1.5%

30d 74.76 – 82.59 close 2 Oct 2026

02 · Price action

Up, down, or sideways

Most recent closing price versus 1-day, 1-week, 1-month ago

Contract 1 day 5 days 30 days 30-day range
UK Natural Gas · NBP
Day-Aheadp/therm +0.8%+0.1%+7.8%
Month-Aheadp/therm +2.5%+5.9%+12.9%
Quarter-Aheadp/therm +2.0%+3.2%+9.3%
Season-Aheadp/therm +2.9%−24.1%−18.6%
SUM 27p/therm +2.9%+5.1%+28.3%
WIN 27p/therm +3.0%+3.9%+27.0%
SUM 28p/therm +2.8%+3.0%+17.5%
WIN 28p/therm +2.2%+2.4%+15.9%
UK Electricity · Baseload
Day-Ahead£/MWh −1.6%−9.2%+60.2%
Month-Ahead£/MWh +1.3%+8.1%+17.4%
Quarter-Ahead£/MWh +1.8%+2.0%+14.4%
Season-Ahead£/MWh +1.3%−29.0%−19.5%
SUM 27£/MWh +1.3%+3.9%+18.1%
WIN 27£/MWh +2.0%+3.2%+19.4%
SUM 28£/MWh +2.4%+3.4%+10.3%
WIN 28£/MWh +1.5%+2.3%+9.8%

03 · Gas curve

UK NBP monthly forwards out to 2030

Most recent closing prices versus 1-month ago (white shaded sections delineate winter delivery).

Latest close · 3 Oct 2026 One month ago · 2 Sep 2026 p/therm
View as table
Contract Latest close (p/therm) One month ago
NOV 26 188.56 185.13
DEC 26 190.59 186.55
JAN 27 191.61 187.15
FEB 27 190.04 184.05
MAR 27 181.30 169.64
APR 27 153.90 138.46
MAY 27 141.75 122.84
JUN 27 134.77 117.47
JUL 27 132.32 116.72
AUG 27 133.09 117.75
SEP 27 131.65 116.50
OCT 27 131.13 115.80
NOV 27 133.71 119.72
DEC 27 136.50 121.69
JAN 28 135.65 121.73
FEB 28 133.54 120.00
MAR 28 123.20 109.64
APR 28 96.21 87.38
MAY 28 88.42 80.19
JUN 28 85.68 77.81
JUL 28 83.01 76.23
AUG 28 82.94 76.27
SEP 28 84.11 77.65
OCT 28 89.64 82.96
NOV 28 92.56 85.73
DEC 28 94.87 87.99
JAN 29 97.18 89.66
FEB 29 95.72 88.36
MAR 29 92.37 85.31
APR 29 76.76 71.51
MAY 29 72.64 67.59
JUN 29 70.89 65.79
JUL 29 70.02 64.92
AUG 29 70.67 65.56
SEP 29 71.88 66.73
OCT 29 76.76 71.24
NOV 29 79.50 73.79
DEC 29 81.62 75.89
JAN 30 82.90 76.95
FEB 30 83.25 77.25
MAR 30 81.51 75.46
APR 30 73.11 69.31
MAY 30 70.60 66.94
JUN 30 68.21 64.56
JUL 30 66.44 62.80
AUG 30 66.04 62.42
SEP 30 67.47 63.86
OCT 30 74.02 70.82
NOV 30 76.81 73.61
DEC 30 78.77 75.59

04 · Seasonal context

The front 7 seasons out to Winter-29 delivery

Most recent closing prices versus 1-week, 1 month, 3-months, 6-months ago.

Gas · UK NBP seasonal forwards p/therm
Last close · 2 Oct 26 1 week ago · 25 Sep 26 1 month ago · 2 Sep 26 3 months ago · 2 Jul 26 6 months ago · 2 Apr 26
View as table
Season Last close (p/therm) 1 week ago 1 month ago 3 months ago 6 months ago
SUM 27 137.87 131.22 121.58 79.82 94.28
WIN 27 132.26 127.36 118.07 81.21 93.85
SUM 28 86.69 84.21 79.23 62.87 67.84
WIN 28 93.69 91.49 86.65 71.37 73.00
SUM 29 72.12 70.29 67.00 57.33 63.29
WIN 29 80.89 79.10 75.07 66.97 71.99
Electricity · UK Baseload seasonal forwards £/MWh
Last close · 3 Oct 26 1 week ago · 26 Sep 26 1 month ago · 3 Sep 26 3 months ago · 3 Jul 26 6 months ago · 3 Apr 26
View as table
Season Last close (£/MWh) 1 week ago 1 month ago 3 months ago 6 months ago
SUM 27 108.56 104.46 98.66 75.61 77.31
WIN 27 109.83 106.48 99.30 78.17 82.98
SUM 28 74.46 72.00 69.87 60.68 65.29
WIN 28 82.59 80.76 78.27 68.94 72.53
SUM 29 69.03 66.78 65.59 60.89 65.94
WIN 29 77.01 75.04 72.93 69.81 70.54

05 · Half-year curve shift

Our quick-glance graphic of mid-term market volatility

Percentage changes of most recent closing prices of the front 7 seasons versus 6-month ago.

Gas · UK NBP p/therm
Electricity · UK Baseload £/MWh
View as table
Season Six months ago Latest close Change
Gas SUM 27 94.28 p/therm 137.87 p/therm +46.2%
Gas WIN 27 93.85 p/therm 132.26 p/therm +40.9%
Gas SUM 28 67.84 p/therm 86.69 p/therm +27.8%
Gas WIN 28 73.00 p/therm 93.69 p/therm +28.3%
Gas SUM 29 63.29 p/therm 72.12 p/therm +14.0%
Gas WIN 29 71.99 p/therm 80.89 p/therm +12.4%
Power SUM 27 77.31 £/MWh 108.56 £/MWh +40.4%
Power WIN 27 82.98 £/MWh 109.83 £/MWh +32.4%
Power SUM 28 65.29 £/MWh 74.46 £/MWh +14.0%
Power WIN 28 72.53 £/MWh 82.59 £/MWh +13.9%
Power SUM 29 65.94 £/MWh 69.03 £/MWh +4.7%
Power WIN 29 70.54 £/MWh 77.01 £/MWh +9.2%

06 · Daily evolution

Each day's closing seasonal forward price over an 18-month period

Feel free to drag the zoom!

Gas · UK NBP seasonal forwards
Electricity · UK Baseload seasonal forwards

07 · Month-ahead delivery prices, gas versus electricity

Tracking the correlation coefficient

Weekly closing prices indexed to 100 at 4 Oct 2024 reflecting comparative value.

Gas · NBP month-ahead Electricity · UK Baseload month-ahead indexed, 4 Oct 2024 = 100
View as table
Week ending Gas index Gas (p/therm) Electricity index Electricity (£/MWh)
4 Oct 2024 100.0 101.99 100.0 86.98
11 Oct 2024 96.7 98.64 98.4 85.63
18 Oct 2024 95.7 97.60 98.1 85.32
25 Oct 2024 107.9 110.07 110.4 96.00
1 Nov 2024 96.4 98.37 102.6 89.20
8 Nov 2024 104.6 106.63 103.2 89.77
15 Nov 2024 114.1 116.40 110.2 95.85
22 Nov 2024 114.4 116.69 109.6 95.33
29 Nov 2024 114.8 117.09 111.1 96.60
6 Dec 2024 113.1 115.35 113.2 98.48
13 Dec 2024 100.8 102.79 102.8 89.38
20 Dec 2024 106.7 108.84 107.5 93.51
27 Dec 2024 116.7 119.06 118.6 103.18
3 Jan 2025 121.6 123.97 118.1 102.67
10 Jan 2025 111.8 114.07 107.0 93.10
17 Jan 2025 116.7 119.04 110.8 96.35
24 Jan 2025 122.1 124.51 122.1 106.18
31 Jan 2025 130.6 133.23 132.5 115.25
7 Feb 2025 132.8 135.48 128.2 111.47
14 Feb 2025 120.1 122.47 116.2 101.07
21 Feb 2025 108.4 110.51 105.8 91.99
28 Feb 2025 103.9 105.98 103.4 89.94
7 Mar 2025 94.8 96.66 93.8 81.59
14 Mar 2025 101.8 103.85 100.1 87.05
21 Mar 2025 101.1 103.13 102.4 89.10
28 Mar 2025 96.2 98.08 98.4 85.62
4 Apr 2025 86.8 88.49 84.0 73.05
11 Apr 2025 81.1 82.76 82.3 71.55
17 Apr 2025 85.3 87.01 86.6 75.32
25 Apr 2025 76.3 77.77 83.3 72.43
2 May 2025 78.1 79.63 84.9 73.80
9 May 2025 80.9 82.48 86.8 75.50
16 May 2025 81.8 83.42 86.7 75.42
23 May 2025 85.6 87.33 89.4 77.78
30 May 2025 78.8 80.38 81.9 71.22
6 Jun 2025 83.2 84.90 88.0 76.55
13 Jun 2025 87.5 89.27 93.9 81.65
20 Jun 2025 93.8 95.66 94.1 81.88
27 Jun 2025 74.6 76.05 82.1 71.40
4 Jul 2025 77.6 79.12 83.2 72.38
11 Jul 2025 83.8 85.44 87.3 75.95
18 Jul 2025 78.4 79.92 83.2 72.40
25 Jul 2025 77.1 78.65 84.0 73.05
1 Aug 2025 81.7 83.33 88.8 77.20
8 Aug 2025 77.6 79.09 88.8 77.24
15 Aug 2025 74.7 76.23 84.5 73.52
22 Aug 2025 81.5 83.14 89.8 78.08
29 Aug 2025 76.4 77.95 85.3 74.18
5 Sep 2025 79.2 80.75 85.6 74.43
12 Sep 2025 81.0 82.60 85.9 74.75
19 Sep 2025 80.6 82.18 87.3 75.95
26 Sep 2025 81.7 83.32 85.5 74.38
3 Oct 2025 80.3 81.87 94.0 81.71
10 Oct 2025 81.4 83.03 95.3 82.92
17 Oct 2025 80.2 81.75 95.6 83.12
24 Oct 2025 80.2 81.82 91.1 79.21
31 Oct 2025 79.3 80.86 91.7 79.78
7 Nov 2025 80.3 81.90 92.9 80.79
14 Nov 2025 81.0 82.65 95.0 82.58
21 Nov 2025 77.6 79.10 93.9 81.68
28 Nov 2025 73.8 75.24 94.6 82.24
5 Dec 2025 69.2 70.55 90.6 78.83
12 Dec 2025 70.8 72.22 94.2 81.93
19 Dec 2025 72.5 73.91 98.4 85.58
26 Dec 2025 71.8 73.25 98.1 85.32
2 Jan 2026 71.7 73.11 96.3 83.75
9 Jan 2026 69.5 70.84 95.2 82.83
16 Jan 2026 90.0 91.80 120.7 105.02
23 Jan 2026 96.3 98.26 122.5 106.56
30 Jan 2026 93.3 95.20 115.2 100.17
6 Feb 2026 80.6 82.18 95.4 83.00
13 Feb 2026 73.6 75.10 85.2 74.08
20 Feb 2026 75.3 76.82 85.0 73.90
27 Feb 2026 76.7 78.23 84.3 73.31
6 Mar 2026 131.6 134.17 116.8 101.63
13 Mar 2026 124.7 127.19 111.3 96.79
20 Mar 2026 147.0 149.97 122.4 106.42
27 Mar 2026 133.7 136.39 114.1 99.20
2 Apr 2026 123.5 125.95 110.3 95.90
10 Apr 2026 107.1 109.21 100.0 87.01
17 Apr 2026 94.2 96.12 94.7 82.39
24 Apr 2026 109.1 111.23 103.5 90.01
1 May 2026 108.9 111.06 106.9 92.98
8 May 2026 105.1 107.17 106.1 92.30
15 May 2026 120.4 122.82 118.0 102.62
22 May 2026 115.0 117.24 115.6 100.58
29 May 2026 108.1 110.23 114.6 99.66
5 Jun 2026 114.9 117.21 118.3 102.89
12 Jun 2026 109.8 111.95 113.5 98.70
19 Jun 2026 99.3 101.24 108.9 94.71
26 Jun 2026 95.8 97.67 104.5 90.89
3 Jul 2026 106.0 108.14 111.3 96.76
10 Jul 2026 114.5 116.74 117.5 102.20
17 Jul 2026 136.7 139.42 132.7 115.38
24 Jul 2026 149.1 152.04 146.2 127.18
31 Jul 2026 138.8 141.54 138.9 120.78
7 Aug 2026 133.5 136.12 133.1 115.74
14 Aug 2026 146.5 149.40 142.1 123.62
21 Aug 2026 160.3 163.46 147.9 128.68
28 Aug 2026 159.2 162.38 149.9 130.34
4 Sep 2026 175.4 178.90 160.8 139.89
11 Sep 2026 195.3 199.17 176.2 153.22
18 Sep 2026 193.0 196.86 176.3 153.34
25 Sep 2026 175.0 178.49 163.3 142.05
2 Oct 2026 185.3 189.01 176.5 153.49

Numbers from PEP-ICD chart data as of 3rd October 2026. Closing rates are indicative; live rates and the full chart suite are available through the TRIBARClient portal.